Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.174130 30.864525 34.891459 39.615044 45.008318 50.979267 58.098145
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.814951 27.846356 33.756934 41.225607 50.430826 61.430212 75.608854
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.684317 25.638658 33.116772 43.229440 56.598310 73.736816 97.488417
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.865357 23.337215 31.988266 44.456432 62.066190 86.198571 122.036570
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.034866 22.033863 31.961284 47.167833 70.054846 103.506407 156.636292
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.085854 20.236522 30.959520 48.356337 76.165522 119.382310 192.583512
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.071913 18.000485 28.944090 47.681770 79.382372 131.588918 225.597842
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.556378 16.289506 27.460899 47.595936 83.559478 146.179789 265.805124
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.674616 15.479141 27.320669 49.757366 92.014594 169.729649 327.105764
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.995080 14.904972 27.492331 52.517479 102.127649 198.336093 404.559981
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.179855 13.943522 26.802809 53.550266 109.199002 222.674137 479.424066
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.261672 12.629928 25.228014 52.559810 112.053366 239.224560 542.022923
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.406961 11.324232 23.502134 51.058080 113.819281 254.489537 607.146450
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.807314 10.446571 22.511520 50.967909 118.748595 277.986259 698.233718
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.356018 9.812168 21.935994 51.716995 125.845049 308.264297 814.826009
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.917484 9.131055 21.141516 51.812564 131.448012 336.367291 934.100541
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.655181 8.814976 21.137896 53.856506 142.492738 381.081850 1112.599289
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.331100 8.293607 20.552589 54.315303 149.516722 416.935848 1276.618331
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.951206 7.567427 19.333213 52.858244 150.980638 437.798075 1401.722061
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.659545 7.018506 18.473532 52.219666 154.677703 466.160000 1560.040495
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.508991 6.819689 18.509919 54.154477 166.561186 522.499523 1831.112657
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.396591 6.706531 18.763246 56.798740 181.348417 592.064423 2172.835156
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.228716 6.407502 18.439582 57.621797 190.523477 645.768202 2475.097891